Comunicacionesvs
Guastatoya
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Comunicaciones · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Comunicaciones 1-2 Guastatoya
Original prediction
Comunicaciones
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.3% | 40.0% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.2% | 29.0% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.21 | 17.4% | 30.9% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Comunicaciones
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Comunicaciones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60