GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/14/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comunicaciones · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Comunicaciones are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLWD), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cobán Imperial are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Comunicaciones hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Liga Nacional, while Comunicaciones holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Comunicaciones

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Comunicaciones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ComunicacionesWLWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Cobán ImperialDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
ComunicacionesCobán Imperial
43.7Attack47.1
64.3Defence51.0
51.6Form44.1
54.0Power49.0
1.40xG0.90
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