GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comunicaciones · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Comunicaciones 1-2 Aurora

Original prediction

Comunicaciones

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5757.8%46.9%-10.8 pts
Draw3.5625.5%23.4%-2.1 pts
Away5.4016.8%29.7%12.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Comunicaciones

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Comunicaciones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ComunicacionesLWWLD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AuroraWLLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ComunicacionesAurora
43.6Attack52.8
51.3Defence41.7
38.5Form41.7
46.1Power47.9
1.62xG1.41
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