GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antigua GFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Comunicaciones 1-0 Antigua GFC

Original prediction

Antigua GFC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2740.1%30.0%-10.0 pts
Draw3.0529.9%24.9%-5.0 pts
Away3.0230.1%45.1%15.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

15.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.1–210%

Predicted outcome

Antigua GFC

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Antigua GFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ComunicacionesLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Antigua GFCWDWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ComunicacionesAntigua GFC
40.0Attack59.5
53.3Defence54.8
35.6Form61.9
44.7Power59.7
1.10xG1.60
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