Compostelavs
Real Oviedo II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Compostela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Compostela 1-2 Real Oviedo II
Original prediction
Compostela
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.5% | 40.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.4% | 27.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.2% | 31.6% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Compostela
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Compostela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80