Comovs
RB Leipzig
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 9/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Como · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Como 4-1 RB Leipzig
Original prediction
Como
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 53.1% | 40.5% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 23.7% | 26.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 23.2% | 32.9% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Como
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Como has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ComoWWDDD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
RB LeipzigLWWLL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ComoRB Leipzig
50.0Attack58.3
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form54.2
50.0Power56.0
1.61xG1.60