GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 4/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comerciantes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Comerciantes are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while U. San Martin are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Segunda División, while Comerciantes holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Comerciantes

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Comerciantes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ComerciantesLD

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
U. San MartinLL

GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
ComerciantesU. San Martin
41.7Attack43.3
75.0Defence56.7
58.3Form36.7
60.6Power46.0
1.21xG0.58
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