Comerciantesvs
Sport Huancayo 2
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 9/25/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Comerciantes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Comerciantes 0-0 Sport Huancayo 2, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Comerciantes 0-1 Sport Huancayo 2
Original prediction
Comerciantes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 58.7% | 41.4% | -17.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.6% | 30.4% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 5.33 | 16.7% | 28.2% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Projected Score
Comerciantes 0–0 Sport Huancayo 2
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Comerciantes
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Comerciantes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60