GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 4/19/2026, 8:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comerciantes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Comerciantes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Segunda División, while Comerciantes holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Comerciantes

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Comerciantes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ComerciantesWWDDW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SantosDDDWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ComerciantesSantos
41.7Attack30.6
75.0Defence63.9
58.3Form47.2
60.6Power49.4
1.00xG0.41
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