ComerciantesvsMinas

Comerciantes are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Minas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.