GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 5/3/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comerciantes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Comerciantes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Estudiantil CNI are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Segunda División, while Comerciantes holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Comerciantes

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Comerciantes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ComerciantesDWWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estudiantil CNILDD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
ComerciantesEstudiantil CNI
41.7Attack54.5
75.0Defence60.6
58.3Form36.4
60.6Power47.0
1.10xG0.73
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