Comerciantesvs
Deportiva Agropecuaria
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 10/11/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Comerciantes 0-0 Deportiva Agropecuaria, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Comerciantes 0-2 Deportiva Agropecuaria
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.0% | 37.0% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.0% | 32.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.0% | 30.2% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Comerciantes 0–0 Deportiva Agropecuaria
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.9%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00