GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 3/7/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comerciantes Unidos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while UTC Cajamarca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Primera División, while Comerciantes Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Comerciantes Unidos

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

13.8%

Comerciantes Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Comerciantes UnidosWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UTC CajamarcaLDWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Comerciantes UnidosUTC Cajamarca
40.9Attack38.1
56.1Defence46.0
39.4Form31.7
47.8Power41.3
1.45xG0.90
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