Comerciantes Unidosvs
UTC
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 3/7/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Comerciantes Unidos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while UTC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Primera División, while Comerciantes Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Comerciantes Unidos
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Comerciantes Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00