GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 3/21/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Universitario are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

15.6%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Comerciantes UnidosWLWLD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
UniversitarioWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Comerciantes UnidosUniversitario
40.9Attack46.0
56.1Defence68.3
39.4Form57.1
47.8Power58.7
0.81xG1.15
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