Comerciantes Unidosvs
Sporting Cristal
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 4/25/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Comerciantes Unidos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.8 against 48.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Primera División, while Comerciantes Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Comerciantes Unidos
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Comerciantes Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00