Comerciantes Unidosvs
Sport Huancayo
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Comerciantes Unidos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 Sport Huancayo
Original prediction
Comerciantes Unidos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.9% | 46.2% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 28.2% | 25.7% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.8% | 28.1% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Comerciantes Unidos
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Comerciantes Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40