GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/10/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Comerciantes UnidosLWWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FBC MelgarWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Comerciantes UnidosFBC Melgar
40.9Attack57.1
56.1Defence58.7
39.4Form55.6
47.8Power57.8
1.05xG1.42
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