Comerciantes Unidosvs
FBC Melgar
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 5/10/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBC Melgar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FBC Melgar
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20