GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/25/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Comerciantes UnidosLDLWW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo GarcilasoWWWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Comerciantes UnidosDeportivo Garcilaso
40.9Attack41.3
56.1Defence68.3
39.4Form55.6
47.8Power57.0
0.81xG1.02
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