Comerciantes Unidosvs
Atletico Grau
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 3/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Comerciantes Unidos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atletico Grau are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40