Comerciantes Unidosvs
Alianza Atletico
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 4/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Comerciantes Unidos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.8 against 48.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40