GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 4/30/2023, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Comerciantes Unidos · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Alfonso Ugarte Puno are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold a 32.8-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.1% in the Segunda División, while Comerciantes Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Comerciantes Unidos

Probability

78.1%

Model confidence

78.1%

Comerciantes Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Comerciantes UnidosWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Alfonso Ugarte PunoWD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Comerciantes UnidosAlfonso Ugarte Puno
69.2Attack46.2
71.8Defence43.6
80.8Form34.6
74.6Power41.9
2.77xG0.64
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