Comerciantes Unidosvs
Alfonso Ugarte Puno
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 4/30/2023, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Comerciantes Unidos · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Comerciantes Unidos are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Alfonso Ugarte Puno are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold a 32.8-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.1% in the Segunda División, while Comerciantes Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Comerciantes Unidos
Probability
78.1%
Model confidence
78.1%
Comerciantes Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50