Colwyn Bayvs
Llandudno
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llandudno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colwyn Bay 2-0 Llandudno
Original prediction
Llandudno
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.1% | 26.2% | -15.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 23.0% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.5% | 50.8% | 20.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Llandudno
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Llandudno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00