Colwyn Bayvs
Aberystwyth Town
SCHEDULEDWales · Welsh Cup · 11/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aberystwyth Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 21 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Aberystwyth Town
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Aberystwyth Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Colwyn BayDWLWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Aberystwyth TownWLWDW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Colwyn BayAberystwyth Town
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power88.7
1.92xG2.33