Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colunga 0-4 Lealtad
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.0%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ColungaLDDLW
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LealtadDWWDL
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ColungaLealtad
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
50.0Power68.0
1.09xG1.15