Columbus Crewvs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · US Open Cup · 10/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Columbus Crew 0-0 St. Louis City
Original prediction
Columbus Crew
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.9% | 42.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.2% | 25.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.9% | 32.1% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Columbus Crew
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20