GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/23/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Columbus Crew are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while St. Louis City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold a 61.6-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Leagues Cup, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus CrewLDDWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
St. Louis CityWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Columbus CrewSt. Louis City
66.7Attack16.7
66.7Defence0.0
77.8Form0.0
72.8Power11.2
2.36xG0.98
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