Columbus Crewvs
Orlando City SC
COMPLETEDUSA · US Open Cup · 9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Columbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SC
Original prediction
Columbus Crew
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.8% | 48.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.9% | 25.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 28.3% | 26.2% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Columbus Crew
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20