GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Columbus Crew are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Orlando City SC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

56.5%

Model confidence

56.5%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus CrewWLLDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Orlando City SCLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 21 · avg 0.80/4.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Columbus CrewOrlando City SC
48.1Attack55.6
48.1Defence13.0
37.0Form37.0
46.3Power36.6
2.64xG1.56
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