Columbus Crewvs
New York Red Bulls
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Columbus Crew 0-1 New York Red Bulls
Original prediction
Columbus Crew
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.7% | 44.5% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.9% | 26.6% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 24.4% | 28.9% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Columbus Crew
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40