Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew

Home
DL
21
Full time
FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati

Away
W
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Columbus Crew(39%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Columbus Crew
39%
Draw
24%
FC Cincinnati
37%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Columbus Crew
54
FC Cincinnati
94
Defence
Columbus Crew
27
FC Cincinnati
66
Momentum
Columbus Crew
17
FC Cincinnati
100
Danger (xG)
Columbus Crew
1.35
FC Cincinnati
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Columbus Crew)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (FC Cincinnati)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Columbus Crew)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (FC Cincinnati)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
DL
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
WDL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Columbus Crew39%
Draw24%
FC Cincinnati37%

Columbus Crew leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Columbus Crew head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field in mixed form (DL), while FC Cincinnati arrive in mixed form (W). Columbus Crew have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for FC Cincinnati over 1 games.

Tactically, FC Cincinnati hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Columbus Crew defence (27/100), while Columbus Crew's attack faces a solid FC Cincinnati backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Columbus Crew have limited home data in the engine at this stage. FC Cincinnati have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Columbus Crew to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Columbus Crew 3903%, Draw 2420%, FC Cincinnati 3677%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew

D
@ Philadelphia Union
17 May 2026
11
L
@ New York Red Bulls
14 May 2026
23
FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati

W
vs Burnley
11 Jul 2026
31
D
@ San Diego
17 May 2026
33
L
vs Inter Miami
14 May 2026
35

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?

GoalVio's model predicts Columbus Crew to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more