GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/5/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Columbus Crew are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while DC United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.3 against 48.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus CrewLWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
DC UnitedWLWDL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Columbus CrewDC United
48.1Attack48.1
48.1Defence46.3
37.0Form42.6
46.3Power48.0
1.66xG1.39
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