Columbus Crewvs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Columbus Crew are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60