GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 10/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Columbus Crew II 2-1 New England II

Original prediction

Columbus Crew II

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 15:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1542.1%45.1%3.0 pts
Draw3.6624.8%21.5%-3.2 pts
Away2.7333.1%33.4%0.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew II

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Columbus Crew II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus Crew IIDDLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
New England IIWDDLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Columbus Crew IINew England II
58.3Attack56.0
48.8Defence50.0
51.2Form52.4
54.2Power54.3
1.92xG1.61
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