GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Columbus Crew II 1-1 New England II

Original prediction

Columbus Crew II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5036.0%40.9%4.8 pts
Draw3.5225.6%25.3%-0.3 pts
Away2.3538.4%33.8%-4.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew II

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Columbus Crew II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus Crew IILLWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
New England IIDLLLL

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Columbus Crew IINew England II
60.3Attack55.1
47.4Defence48.7
52.6Form51.3
54.7Power53.3
2.05xG1.62
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