Columbus Crew IIvs
Chicago Fire II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Columbus Crew II 4-0 Chicago Fire II
Original prediction
Chicago Fire II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.1% | 39.4% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.4% | 20.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.5% | 40.0% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire II
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Chicago Fire II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80