GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Columbus Crew II 1-1 Carolina Core

Original prediction

Columbus Crew II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7152.7%61.9%9.2 pts
Draw3.9123.1%18.2%-4.9 pts
Away3.7324.2%19.9%-4.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.3–18%
  3. 3.1–18%

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew II

Probability

61.9%

Model confidence

61.9%

Columbus Crew II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Columbus Crew IIDLLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Carolina CoreDDLLW

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Columbus Crew IICarolina Core
59.3Attack48.1
48.1Defence35.8
51.9Form30.9
54.4Power40.0
2.62xG1.34
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