Colorado Springsvs
San Antonio
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Springs · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Springs 2-1 San Antonio
Original prediction
Colorado Springs
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.7% | 43.0% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.7% | 26.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.6% | 31.0% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Springs
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00