Colorado Springsvs
Oakland Roots
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Springs · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Springs 0-0 Oakland Roots
Original prediction
Colorado Springs
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 56.0% | 46.7% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.4% | 26.1% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.6% | 27.2% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Springs
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00