Colorado Springsvs
New Mexico United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Springs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Springs 0-0 New Mexico United
Original prediction
Colorado Springs
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.2% | 39.3% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.7% | 23.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 23.1% | 37.6% | 14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Springs
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00