Colorado Springsvs
Lexington
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lexington · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Colorado Springs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lexington are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the USL Championship, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lexington
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
Lexington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00