GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/19/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colorado Springs · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Colorado Springs are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hartford Athletic are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 2.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Colorado Springs hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the USL Championship, while Colorado Springs holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colorado Springs

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colorado SpringsWDDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hartford AthleticLWWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.75/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Colorado SpringsHartford Athletic
51.9Attack24.1
51.9Defence68.5
46.3Form38.9
51.7Power45.8
1.07xG0.68
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