Colorado Springsvs
FC Tulsa
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Springs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Springs 2-0 FC Tulsa
Original prediction
Colorado Springs
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.8% | 43.4% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.5% | 27.3% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 5.13 | 17.7% | 29.3% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Springs
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20