Colorado Rapidsvs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · US Open Cup · 9/17/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Rapids · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Rapids 0-3 St. Louis City
Original prediction
Colorado Rapids
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 40.1% | 38.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.8% | 26.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.2% | 34.9% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Rapids
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40