GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/10/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colorado Rapids · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Colorado Rapids are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while St. Louis City are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Colorado Rapids holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colorado Rapids

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

13.8%

Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colorado RapidsLLDLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
St. Louis CityLLLDD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Colorado RapidsSt. Louis City
50.0Attack44.4
53.7Defence55.6
40.7Form48.1
48.6Power51.1
1.43xG1.15
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