GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/28/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colorado Rapids · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Colorado Rapids are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Colorado Rapids hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Colorado Rapids holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colorado Rapids

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

10.1%

Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colorado RapidsLWLLD

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Portland TimbersWWLDD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Colorado RapidsPortland Timbers
50.9Attack61.1
56.1Defence38.9
43.9Form44.4
50.7Power48.4
2.03xG1.47
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