GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/12/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colorado Rapids · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Colorado Rapids are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Colorado Rapids holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colorado Rapids

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colorado RapidsLWLWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Houston DynamoLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Colorado RapidsHouston Dynamo
50.9Attack49.1
56.1Defence57.9
43.9Form61.4
50.7Power57.6
1.35xG1.22
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