Colorado Rapids IIvs
Ventura County
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ventura County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Rapids II 2-3 Ventura County
Original prediction
Ventura County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.8% | 18.4% | -23.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.5% | 17.6% | -7.9 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.7% | 64.0% | 31.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
31.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Ventura County
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
64.0%
Ventura County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60