Colorado Rapids IIvs
North Texas
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Texas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Colorado Rapids II 2-1 North Texas
Original prediction
North Texas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.3% | 22.9% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.8% | 21.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.9% | 55.5% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
North Texas
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
North Texas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20