GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Colon Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Miguel are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Colon Santa FeWLWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San MiguelDLDWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Colon Santa FeSan Miguel
40.3Attack24.6
73.6Defence66.7
54.2Form37.7
57.1Power45.2
0.91xG0.35
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